Over the past decade, Greenland has lifted and restored its ban on uranium mining amid the uncertainty of global uranium prices. This article investigates the dynamic interrelations between uranium commodity prices and the impacts of structural shocks, sketching key economic implications for Greenla…
Over the past decade, Greenland has lifted and restored its ban on uranium mining amid the uncertainty of global uranium prices. This article investigates the dynamic interrelations between uranium commodity prices and the impacts of structural shocks, sketching key economic implications for Greenland. Using a structural vector autoregressive model, this work analyses the changing relations between uranium prices, coal prices as well as real and financial variables from 1980 to 2019. The main findings are that the dynamics of uranium spot prices are diversely affected by shocks in combined real GDP, total electricity production from nuclear power, the interest rate, the real effective exchange rate, and the price of coal. The estimates also show that the pricing dynamics are important for future production and capital investment decisions. The analysis illustrates that despite the prevailing depressed uranium market, Greenland can still capitalize on future market developments. The country can anticipate benefiting from a short-run world supply disruption, a positive combination of macroeconomic shocks, and the long-term expansion of nuclear energy programs.
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Årstal:
2022
Emner:
Mining
Titel på tidsskrift:
Energy Policy
Udgiver:
Elsevier
DOI nummer:
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2021.112757
Kan vi forudsige fremtiden for arktisk mineral minedrift? Elementær statistisk prognose
Årstal:
2021
Emner:
Mining; Econometrics; Kvantitative metoder
Publikationssted:
Nuuk
Publikationsland:
Grønland
Titel på værtspublikation:
Samfundsvidenskabelig praksis - arktiske perspektiver
Udgiver:
University of Greenland Press
ISBN nummer:
9788797345306
Mining in Greenland – Current State and Plans for the Future
Editor:
L Heininen
Årstal:
2014
Emner:
Mining; Greenland
Titel på værtspublikation:
Arctic Yearbook 2014
ISBN nummer:
2298–2418